Fewer births and deaths
According to preliminary data, in January–November 2018, the number of live births was 1.7% and that of deceases was 1.2% fewer than in the same period of 2017. The natural decrease fell by 42 (0.1%) compared to the first eleven months of 2017. In November 2018, the number of live births was 0.3% and that of deceases was 0.6% fewer than a year earlier. The monthly natural decrease was 2,998 persons, by 38 fewer than in November 2017.
In November 2018:
7,281 children were born, 0.3% or by 24 infants fewer than in November 2017.
The number of the deceased was 10,279, which meant a decrease of 0.6%, and numerically 62 fewer deceases, than in the same month of the previous year.
The decline in the number of deaths exceeded that in the number of births, as a result of which, the natural decrease was 2,998 as opposed to 3,036 in November 2017, which meant a decline of 0.1%.
The registered 1,951 marriages were by 70 (3.5%) fewer than the figure in November 2017.
In January–November 2018:
82,580 children were born, 1,408 (1.7%) fewer than in January–November 2017. In January, June–July and October a slight increase, while in February–May a 3.7%, in August–September and November a 2.2% decline was registered on average in the number of live births compared to a year earlier. The largest increase of 1.3% occurred in October and the most significant drop of 7.2% was registered in May.
The estimated total fertility rate was 1.49 compared with the value of 1.50 calculated for the same period of the previous year.
118,693 people died, 1.2% or numerically 1,450 fewer, than in the same period of the previous year. The largest monthly decrease and increase were recorded in the first quarter of the year so far. While in January nearly 22% fewer, in March more than 15% more people died than in the corresponding months of the previous year. The reason for this may have been that in 2018 the peak of the flu epidemic was later than in the previous year. Then, the number of deaths fell by 1.4% in April–June and November on average, and increased by 2.7% in July–October.
The number of live births decreased numerically less than that of deaths, as a result of which, the natural decrease fell from 36,155 in January–November 2017 to 36,113 persons in the corresponding period of 2018, which meant an improvement of only 0.1%.
The number of marriages was 48,725, 0.9% or numerically 447 more than in the first eleven months of 2017. In the 1st quarter, the number of marriages did not change significantly compared to the same period of 2017. Then, in May–June, August and October a year-on-year increase, while in the other months a year-on-year decrease was registered. The largest increase of 9.0% was in August, i.e. in the peak of the wedding season, and the most significant drop of similar extent, 9.1% was recorded in July. This latter was due to the fact that there were one more weekends in July 2017.
There were 9.2 live births and 13.3 deceases per thousand inhabitants, both of them were 0.1 per mille point lower than the value of January–November 2017. As a result, the 4.0 per mille rate of natural decrease did not change significantly compared to the previous year. The number of infant deaths was 3.3 per thousand live births, which meant a decrease of 0.3 per mille point compared to the value a year earlier. The marriage rate of 5.5 per mille was 0.1 per mille point higher than in the corresponding period of the previous year.
Main data of vital events, January–November 2018
| Vital event | Number | Change compared to the same period of the previous year, % | Per thousand inhabitants | Change compared to the same period of the previous year, % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live birth | 82 580 | –1.7 | 9.2 | –1.5 |
| Death | 118 693 | –1.2 | 13.3 | –1.0 |
| Infant death | 274 | –10.7 | 3.3a) | –9.2 |
| Natural increase / decrease | –36 113 | –0.1 | –4.0 | 0.1 |
| Marriage | 48 725 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
a) Per thousand live births.