National accounts of Hungary, 2023 (2nd preliminary data)

Methodological notes – Impacts of changes

During the calculations for 2023, benchmark revisions were carried out, in line with the EU recommendation on the revision policy of national accounts. The description and the numerical impacts of the main changes implemented during benchmark revisions are presented in the section titled 1 Methodological changes due to benchmark revisions.

In addition to benchmark revisions, routine revisions were also made, i.e. the corrections of errors found during the checking and finalisation of data, the results of compiling supply and use tables for 2022 and changes in data sources used for the calculations were included.

Table 1

Impacts of changes on GDP

Year
Data published in September 2024 Change compared to data published in March 2024 Difference Data published in September 2024 Data published in March 2024
at current prices, billion HUF % volume index, previous year=100.0%
1995 5 855.6 5 836.5 19.1 0.3
1996 7 149.0 7 122.3 26.7 0.4 100.1 100.1
1997 8 853.5 8 834.6 19.0 0.2 103.0 103.1
1998 10 459.5 10 442.8 16.6 0.2 103.8 103.9
1999 11 658.1 11 637.5 20.6 0.2 103.1 103.1
2000 13 340.3 13 324.1 16.2 0.1 104.4 104.5
2001 15 413.0 15 398.7 14.3 0.1 104.1 104.1
2002 17 441.0 17 433.9 7.1 0.0 104.7 104.7
2003 19 108.8 19 130.0 –21.2 –0.1 103.9 104.1
2004 21 088.7 21 110.1 –21.4 –0.1 105.0 105.0
2005 22 572.4 22 595.0 –22.5 –0.1 104.3 104.3
2006 24 321.9 24 345.4 –23.5 –0.1 103.9 103.9
2007 25 730.3 25 741.9 –11.6 0.0 100.3 100.3
2008 27 233.2 27 249.9 –16.8 –0.1 101.0 101.0
2009 26 467.8 26 520.8 –53.0 –0.2 93.3 93.4
2010 27 427.6 27 485.1 –57.5 –0.2 101.1 101.1
2011 28 492.1 28 538.2 –46.1 –0.2 101.9 101.9
2012 28 919.2 28 996.6 –77.4 –0.3 98.7 98.7
2013 30 343.3 30 351.9 –8.6 0.0 102.0 101.8
2014 32 826.8 32 804.7 22.1 0.1 104.3 104.2
2015 34 984.8 34 965.2 19.5 0.1 103.7 103.7
2016 36 311.9 36 206.7 105.2 0.3 102.4 102.2
2017 39 335.9 39 274.8 61.2 0.2 104.1 104.3
2018 43 554.0 43 386.7 167.3 0.4 105.6 105.4
2019 47 940.5 47 674.2 266.3 0.6 105.1 104.9
2020 48 807.8 48 444.5 363.3 0.7 95.7 95.5
2021 55 557.0 55 205.0 352.0 0.6 107.1 107.1
2022 66 165.6 65 951.7 213.9 0.3 104.3 104.6


Table 2

Impacts of changes on GNI

Year Data published in September 2024 Data published in March 2024 Difference
at current prices, billion HUF %
1995 5 613.8 5 591.5 22.3 0.4
1996 6 831.2 6 800.5 30.8 0.5
1997 8 328.2 8 304.6 23.7 0.3
1998 9 809.9 9 786.7 23.2 0.2
1999 10 910.5 10 882.9 27.6 0.3
2000 12 573.1 12 550.1 22.9 0.2
2001 14 528.8 14 505.0 23.8 0.2
2002 16 460.5 16 442.6 17.9 0.1
2003 18 057.4 18 059.3 –1.9 0.0
2004 19 813.1 19 820.3 –7.2 0.0
2005 21 168.8 21 177.9 –9.1 0.0
2006 22 826.2 22 839.5 –13.3 –0.1
2007 23 787.5 23 790.4 –2.9 0.0
2008 25 465.3 25 457.1 8.2 0.0
2009 25 334.6 25 366.4 –31.8 –0.1
2010 26 167.0 26 191.4 –24.4 –0.1
2011 27 167.3 27 156.2 11.1 0.0
2012 27 756.6 27 769.0 –12.4 0.0
2013 29 506.9 29 469.0 37.8 0.1
2014 31 397.8 31 324.1 73.6 0.2
2015 33 343.4 33 291.6 51.8 0.2
2016 35 383.3 35 230.1 153.2 0.4
2017 37 798.6 37 685.7 112.9 0.3
2018 41 928.9 41 687.3 241.5 0.6
2019 46 794.8 46 415.8 379.0 0.8
2020 47 752.1 47 287.7 464.5 1.0
2021 53 925.4 53 450.2 475.3 0.9
2022 64 383.8 64 051.5 332.3 0.5

1 Methodological changes due to benchmark revisions

1.1 Methodological changes as a result of EU checking of GNI calculations

1.1.1 Review of insurance activity

The following improvements were implemented related to recording insurance activities:

  • technical and actuarial reserves are excluded from the direct non-life insurance output,
  • reinsurance output is recorded separately from the direct insurance output, and reinsurance import data are adjusted to external trade statistical data,
  • tax on collision is excluded from the output of insurance activity, since it is a tax on households and not on insurers.
Table 3

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 40 133 33 059 38 868 78 668
Change as % of GDP, % 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.12


1.1.2 Updates of production of own-account software and databases
The production of own-account software and databases is measured as the sum of production costs, which has two elements: labour costs and non-labour costs. The calculation of labour costs is based on the number of professionals involved in software development and database design. This has so far been derived from 2011 Census data, which have been extrapolated to later years. This estimate is currently updated with 2022 Census data, and the time series is revised on this basis. Non-labour cost components, and gross operating surplus and intermediate consumption figures for the computer programming activities class have also been updated. Most of the changes is due to the new staff number data.

Table 4

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 99 677 98 126 113 091 169 260
Change as % of GDP, % 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.26


1.1.3 Revision to area data of privately rented dwellings

Data on area (square metres) of privately rented dwellings are one of the elements of the estimation of rents. The last major data collection containing information on dwellings was the 2015 Micro census, area data were estimated by extrapolation for the subsequent years. Based on data of the 2022 Census, the area data for the period of 2016–2021 were revised, which had an impact on the value of rents of privately rented dwellings.

Table 5

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 61 086 82 217 104 711
Change as % of GDP, % 0.13 0.17 0.19


1.1.4 Revision of the estimation of non-observed economy due to tax evasion
In the non-financial corporations sector, the estimation of non-observed value added due to tax evasion was revised for 2018–2022. For these years, the newly available theoretical VAT data for 2020 were used for the estimation.

Table 6

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 255 884 11 205 –94 982 –13 973
Change as % of GDP, % 0.54 0.02 –0.17 –0.02

1.1.5 Review of estimation of the inventories

In estimating inventories data (changes in inventories, holding gains/losses and stock of inventories), the price indices used for own and purchased inventories were revised for divisions 45 (Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles), 46 (Wholesale trade) and 47 (Retail trade). Companies in these divisions tend to produce less own inventories and rely less on the resources of the other divisions, but purchase a larger amount of inventories than entities in the other divisions. For this reason, we switched to using CPI data in the calculation of purchased inventories data for these three divisions.

Table 7

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF –28 621 35 011 352 050 327 880
Change as % of GDP, % –0.06 0.07 0.64 0.50


1.2 Other methodological changes

1.2.1 Revision of estimation of illegal activities

Using detailed price data, we made a methodological improvement to the estimation of data on drugs out of illegal activities.

Table 8

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF –45 023 –52 473 –29 563 –33 018
Change as % of GDP, % –0.09 –0.11 –0.05 –0.05

1.2.2 Review of wages and salaries data of small enterprises

The wages and salaries data of small enterprises (enterprises registered for KIVA taxation) were revised. Besides corporate tax returns, as the primary data source until now, new data sources like data from administrative data adoptions and from statistical data collections will also be used from now on to more precisely define the indicator.

Table 9

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 203 063 470 943 672 003 814 376
Change as % of GDP, % 0.43 0.97 1.22 1.23

1.2.3 Excluding insurance tax

Insurance tax has been recorded in intermediate consumption as part of other insurance technical expenses until now, but it is excluded from now on.

Table 10

Impacts of changes on GDP

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GDP at current prices, million HUF 32 534 18 445 21 578 85 829
Change as % of GDP, % 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.13

1.2.4 Methodological changes in calculation of compensation of employees for non-registered foreign employees

As part of the estimation of the compensation of employees for foreign citizens working in Hungary, we revised the methodology of the compensation of employees for non-registered foreign employees. For the calculations, data from inspections related to employment were used as a new source. These changes had an impact on gross national income (GNI) but not on GDP.


Table 11

Impacts of changes on GNI

2019 2020 2021 2022
Change in GNI at current prices, million HUF 97 407 88 750 88 334 64 003
Change as % of GNI, % 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.10

1.2.5 Other improvements

In addition to the methodological changes listed above, we changed to using the classification of individual consumption by purpose (COICOP 2018) in the estimation of household final consumption expenditure. Besides, we produced the revised European National Accounts transmission obligation data tables. Moreover, starting from the estimation of 2023 data, we adapted the statistical recommendations on the service lives of the fixed asset groups of dwellings and land improvements, which modifies the values of fixed capital consumption and fixed capital stock data.

2 Other changes due to routine revisions (finalisation of annual data, integration of supply and use tables, data corrections)

During routine revisions, the corrections of errors found during the checking and finalisation of data, the results of compiling supply and use tables for 2022 and changes in data sources used for the calculations were included.